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Post Doc, Ph.D, Johannes Mauritzen fra NHH vil presentere sitt paper: The effect of price on oil production: evidence from the Norwegian Continental Shelf.
Seminaret holdes på engelsk.
I use detailed field-level data on Norwegian off shore oil field production and a semi-parametric additive model to control for the production profile of fields to estimate the effect of oil prices on production. I find no significant evidence of a concurrent reaction of field production to oil prices, though a slight lagged effect is found of the magnitude of approximately 2 to 4% for a 10 dollar per barrel increase in the real price of oil. Most of this effect appears to come in the planning phase of a field's development.