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Publications
  • Vitenskapelige publikasjoner
    • Alyaev, Sergey; Holsaeter, Andrew Martin; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Ivanova, Sofija; Bendiksen, Morten

      (2021)

      Systematic decisions under uncertainty : An experiment towards better geosteering operations. I: SPE/IADC International Drilling Conference and Exhibition 2021.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-61399-742-0.

      s.1-6.

      DOI: 10.2118/204133-MS

    • Tadjer, Mohamed Amine Amazigh; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2021)

      Managing Uncertainty in Geological CO2 Storage Using Bayesian Evidential Learning.

      Energies

      ISSN 1996-1073.

      Volum 14.

      Hefte 6.

      DOI: 10.3390/en14061557

    • Tadjer, Mohamed Amine Amazigh; Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2021)

      Machine learning based decline curve analysis for short-term oil production forecast.

      Energy exploration & exploitation

      ISSN 0144-5987.

      DOI: 10.1177/01445987211011784

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2020)

      The two-factor price process in optimal sequential exploration.

      Journal of the Operational Research Society

      ISSN 0160-5682.

      DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2020.1740619

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2020)

      Sequential Exploration: Valuation with Geological Dependencies and Uncertain Oil Prices.

      SPE Journal

      ISSN 1086-055X.

      Volum 25.

      Hefte 05.

      s.2401-2417.

      DOI: 10.2118/202470-PA

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Mohus, Erlend; Petutschnig, David; Bickel, Eric

      (2020)

      Production Forecasting: Optimistic and Overconfident - Over and Over Again.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 23.

      Hefte 03.

      s.799-810.

      DOI: 10.2118/195914-PA

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Lake, Larry W.

      (2019)

      Fast Analysis of Optimal Improved-Oil-Recovery Switch Time Using a Two-Factor Production Model and Least-Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 22.

      Hefte 3.

      s.1144-1160.

      DOI: 10.2118/191327-PA

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Lake, Larry W.; Ruiz Maraggi, Leopoldo

      (2019)

      Integrating Model Uncertainty in Probabilistic Decline-Curve Analysis for Unconventional-Oil-Production Forecasting.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 22.

      Hefte 3.

      s.861-876.

      DOI: 10.2118/194503-PA

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2019)

      The Option Value of Refracturing Oil Wells: Implementation in a Binomial Lattice.

      SPE Journal

      ISSN 1086-055X.

      Volum 24.

      Hefte 4.

      s.1903-1911.

      DOI: 10.2118/195585-PA

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2019)

      Exploration economics: taking opportunities and the risk of double-counting risk.

      Mineral Economics

      ISSN 2191-2203.

      s.1-13.

      DOI: 10.1007/s13563-019-00188-1

    • Hanea, Remus Gabriel; Casanova, Pierrick; Hustoft, Lars; Bratvold, Reidar B; Nair, Rohith; Hewson, Christopher William; Leeuwenburgh, Olwijn; Fonseca, Rahul-Mark

      (2019)

      Drill and Learn: A Decision-Making Work Flow To Quantify Value of Learning .

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 22.

      Hefte 3.

      s.1131-1143.

      DOI: 10.2118/182719-PA

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Suter, Erich Christian; Bratvold, Reidar B; Hong, Aojie; Luo, Xiaodong; Fossum, Kristian

      (2019)

      A decision support system for multi-target geosteering.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

      Volum 183.

      s.1-14.

      DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2019.106381

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Suter, Erich Christian; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Vefring, Erlend; Jahani, Nazanin

      (2018)

      Ensemble-based decision-support workflow for operational geosteering. I: Second EAGE/SPE Geosteering and Well Placement Workshop.

      ISBN 978-94-6282-275-7.

      DOI: 10.3997/2214-4609.201803140

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, James Eric

      (2018)

      Sequential geosteering decisions for optimization of real-time well placement.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

      Volum 165.

      s.90-104.

      DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2018.01.068

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Thomas, Philip; Hanea, Remus Gabriel

      (2018)

      Value-of-information for model parameter updating through history matching.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

      Volum 165.

      s.253-268.

      DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2018.02.004

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2018)

      Are you myopic, naïve or farsighted about your geosteering decisions?. I: Second EAGE/SPE Geosteering and Well Placement Workshop.

      ISBN 978-94-6282-275-7.

      DOI: 10.3997/2214-4609.201803217

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Bratvold, Reidar B; Luo, Xiaodong; Suter, Erich Christian; Vefring, Erlend

      (2018)

      An Interactive Decision Support System for Geosteering Operations. I: SPE Norway One Day Seminar 2018.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-61399-609-6.

      DOI: 10.2118/191337-MS

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Jones, Benjamin; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2017)

      The net-present-value paradox: Criticized by many, applied by all.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 9.

      Hefte 4.

      s.90-102.

      DOI: 10.2118/187937-pa

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2017)

      Hot spot hunting: Optimising the staged development of shale plays.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

      Volum 149.

      s.553-563.

      DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2016.10.052

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, James Eric

      (2017)

      Maximizing the Value of Unconventional Reservoirs by Choosing the Optimal Appraisal Strategy.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 20.

      Hefte 3.

      s.502-512.

      DOI: 10.2118/179960-PA

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2017)

      Robust production optimization with capacitance-resistance model as precursor.

      Computational Geosciences

      ISSN 1420-0597.

      Volum Published ahead of print.

      s.1-20.

      DOI: 10.1007/s10596-017-9666-8

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2017)

      Value of Information from History Matching—How Much Information is Enough? . I: 19th European Symposium on Improved Oil Recovery/IOR Norway 2017.

      European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)

      ISBN 978-94-6282-209-2.

      DOI: 10.3997/2214-4609.201700327

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2016)

      Value Creation with Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Geosteering Operations.

      International Journal of Petroleum Technology

      ISSN 2409-787X.

      Volum 3.

      Hefte 1.

      s.15-31.

      DOI: 10.15377/2409-787X.2016.03.01.2

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2016)

      Appraising unconventional resources: How many wells to drill and where to place them?.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 19.

      Hefte 2.

      s.340-349.

      DOI: 10.2118/179736-PA

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2016)

      Robust Production Optimization with Capacitance-Resistance Model as Precursor. I: ECMOR XV - Proceedings of 15th European Conference on the Mathematics of Oil Recovery, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 29 August - 1 September, 2016.

      European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)

      ISBN 978-94-6282-193-4.

      DOI: 10.3997/2214-4609.201601840

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Malagon, Camilo

      (2016)

      Decision-oriented geosteering and the value of look-ahead information: A case-based study.

      SPE Journal

      ISSN 1086-055X.

      Volum 22.

      Hefte 3.

      s.767-782.

      DOI: 10.2118/184392-PA

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2015)

      Oil and Gas Exploration Valuation and the Value of Waiting.

      The Engineering Economist

      ISSN 0013-791X.

      Volum 60.

      Hefte 4.

      s.245-262.

      DOI: 10.1080/0013791X.2015.1045647

    • Thomas, Philip; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2014)

      The Risk of Using Risk Matrices .

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 6.

      Hefte 2.

      s.56-66.

      DOI: 10.2118/166269-PA

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Thomas, Philip; Begg, S.H.

      (2014)

      Robust Discretization of Continuous Probability Distributions for Value-of-Information Analyses. I: 2014, International Petroleum Technology Conference.

      International Petroleum Technology Conference

      ISBN 978-1-61399-322-4.

      DOI: 10.2523/iptc-17975-m

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, James Eric

      (2014)

      A Decision Analytic Approach to Geosteering Operations.

      SPE Drilling & Completion

      ISSN 1064-6671.

      Volum 29.

      Hefte 1.

      s.36-46.

      DOI: 10.2118/167433-PA

    • Willigers, BJA; Begg, S; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2014)

      Combining geostatistics with Bayesian updating to continually optimize drilling strategy in shale-gas plays.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 17.

      Hefte 4.

      s.507-519.

      DOI: 10.2118/164816-PA

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2013)

      Sell Spot or Sell Forward? Analysis of Oil Trading Decisions Using the Two-Factor Price Model and Simulation.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 5.

      Hefte 3.

      s.80-88.

      DOI: 10.2118/165581-PA

    • Engen, Ole Andreas H; Langhelle, Oluf; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2012)

      Is Norway really Norway?. I: Beyond the Resource Curse.

      University of Pennsylvania Press

      ISBN 978-0-8122-4400-7.

      s.259-279.

      DOI: 10.9783/9780812206173.259

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2012)

      Two-Factor Oil-Price Model and Real Option Valuation: An Example of Oilfield Abandonment.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 4.

      Hefte 3.

      s.158-170.

      DOI: 10.2118/162862-PA

    • Giese, Martin; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2011)

      Probabilistic Modeling for Decision Support in Integrated Operations.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 3.

      Hefte 3.

      s.173-185.

      DOI: 10.2118/127761-PA

    • Rasheva, Svitlana; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2011)

      A New and Improved Approach for Geological Dependency Evaluation for Multiple-Prospect Exploration. I: SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, 30 October-2 November 2011, Denver, Colorado, USA.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-61399-147-3.

      DOI: 10.2118/147062-m

    • Willigers, Bart J.A.; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2011)

      Valuation of Swing Contracts by Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 3.

      Hefte 4.

      s.215-255.

      DOI: 10.2118/133044-PA

    • Willigers, B.J.A.; Hausken, Kjell; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2010)

      Uncertainty and preferences in a joint E&P development program analyzed in a game theoretic framework.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

      Volum 74.

      Hefte 1-2.

      s.88-98.

      DOI: 10.1016/j.petrol.2010.08.013

    • Giese, Martin; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2010)

      Probabilistic Modeling for Decision Support in Integrated Operations. I: 2010 SPE Intelligent Energy Conference & Exhibition: Delivering Value - Creating Opportunities.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-55563-284-7.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Begg, S.H.; Rasheva, Svitlana

      (2010)

      A New Approach to Uncertainty Quantification for Decision Making. I: 2010 SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium - Global Volatility : Surviving & Thriving - HEES 2010.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-55563-282-3.

    • Rajaieyamchee, Mohamad Ali; Bratvold, Reidar B; Badreddine, A.

      (2010)

      Bayesian Decision Networks for Optimal Placement of Horizontal Wells. I: 72nd EAGE Conference & Exhibition incorporating SPE EUROPEC 2010 Barcelona.

      European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)

      ISBN 978-90-73781-86-3.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad

      (2010)

      A Decision Analytic Framework for Autonomous Geosteering. I: http://www.spe.org.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Real-time Decision Support in Drilling Operations using Bayesian Decision Networks. I: SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Taking Real Options into the Real World: Asset Valuation through Option Simulation. I: SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Real Options Analysis in Petroleum Exploration and Production: A New Paradigm in Investment Analysis. I: SPE Europec/EAGE Annual Conference and Exhibition.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric; Lohne, Hans Petter

      (2009)

      Value of Information in the Oil and Gas Industry: Past, Present, and Future.

      SPE Reservoir Evaluation and Engineering

      ISSN 1094-6470.

      Volum 12.

      Hefte 4.

      s.630-638.

      DOI: 10.2118/110378-PA

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Hausken, Kjell

      (2009)

      A Game Theoretic Approach to Conflicting and Evolving Stakeholder Preferences in the E&P Industry.

      SPE Economics & Management

      ISSN 2150-1173.

      Volum 1.

      Hefte 1.

      s.19-26.

    • Willigers, B.J.A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Valuing Oil and Gas Options by Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation.

      Oil and Gas Facilities

      ISSN 1942-2431.

      Volum 4.

      Hefte 4.

      s.146-155.

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Strategic Decision Making in the Digital Oil Field. I: SPE Digital Energy Conference and Exhibition.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad; Willigers, B.J.A.

      (2009)

      The right decision.

      Oil & Gas Journal

      ISSN 0030-1388.

      Volum 10.

    • Arild, Øystein; Lohne, Hans Petter; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      A Monte Carlo Approach to Value of Information Evaluation. I: http://www.spe.org/.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      Valuing Oil and Gas Options by Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation. I: http://www.spe.org/.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Begg, Steve

      (2008)

      I would rather be vaguely right than precisely wrong: A new approach to decision making in the petroleum exploration and production industry.

      American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin

      ISSN 0149-1423.

      Volum 92.

      Hefte 10.

      s.1373-1392.

      DOI: 10.1306/06040808070

    • Sund, Knut Arne; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      Integrated Operations: How Effective is the Current Relationship between Operating Companies and Suppliers?. I: http://www.spe.org/.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Fjellheim, Roar A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Herbert, MIke

      (2008)

      CODIO - Collaborative Decisionmaking in Integrated Operations. I: http://www.spe.org/.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      Systematic Prediction Errors in O&G Project and Portfolio Selection. I: http://www.spe.org/.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      s.1-12.

    • Bickel, J. Eric; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2008)

      From Uncertainty Quantification to Decision Making in the Oil and Gas Industry.

      Energy exploration & exploitation

      ISSN 0144-5987.

      Volum 26.

      Hefte 5.

      s.311-325.

    • Welsh, Matthew; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions. I: spe.org/elibrary.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric; Lohne, Hans Petter

      (2007)

      Value of Information in the Oil and Gas Industry: Past, Present, and Future. I: spe.org/elibrary.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bickel, J. Eric; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Decision Making in the Oil and Gas Industry: From Blissful Ignorance to Uncertainty-Induced Confusion. I: spe.org/elibrary.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Welsh, Matthew; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Efficacy of Bias Awareness in Debiasing Oil and Gas Judgments.

      Cognitive Science

      ISSN 0364-0213.

      s.1647-1652.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2006)

      Education for the Real World: Equipping Petroleum Engineers to Manage Uncertainty. I: Proceedings: SPE ATCE, San Antonio, Texas, 24 - 27 September 2006.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2006)

      Copulas: A New Technique to Model Dependence in Petroleum Decision Making.

      Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

      ISSN 0920-4105.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2006)

      Case Studies for Comparison of Different Real Option Approaches. I: Proceedings: SPE Asia Oil and Gas Conference, Adelaide, Australia, 11 - 13 September 2006.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2006)

      Correcting Common Errors in Probabilistic Evaluations: Efficacy of Debiasing. I: Proceedings: SPE ATCE, San Antonio, Texas, 24 - 27 September 2006.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

  • Bøker og kapitler
    • Gjedrem, Christian; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2018)

      Effect of Sand Screen Erosion on Reservoir Performance.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Medina, Camilo

      (2017)

      Offshore Exploratory Drilling Campaigns During Low Oil Price Period: Maximizing Value Creation From Flexibility.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bodawala, Jugal

      (2017)

      Portfolio Optimisation using Sipmath.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Fjelde, Kjell Kåre

      (2016)

      A Bayesian Framework for Real-Time Optimization of Well Placement.

      Universitetet i Stavanger

      ISBN 978-82-7644-666-1.

      Hefte 307.

    • Yichen, Yang; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2016)

      A Reduced Order Model for Fast Predioction from an Oil Reservoir with a Gas Cap.

    • Pham, Duc Viet; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2015)

      The impact of biases on prospect evaluation and Exploration decisons.

    • Begg, S.H.; Bratvold, Reidar B; Welsh, Matthew

      (2014)

      Uncertainty vs. Variability: What’s the Difference and Why is it Important?. I: 2014 SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium .

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-61399-332-3.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2014)

      Value Creation with Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Geosteering Operations. I: 2014 SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium .

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-61399-332-3.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Begg, Stephen Hope; Rasheva, Svitlana

      (2010)

      2010 SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium - Global Volatility : Surviving & Thriving - HEES 2010.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

      ISBN 978-1-55563-282-3.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Begg, Steve

      (2010)

      Making Good Decisions.

      Society of Petroleum Engineers

  • Formidling
    • Alyaev, Sergey; Holsaeter, Andrew Martin; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Ivanova, Sofija; Bendiksen, Morten

      (2021)

      Systematic Decisions Under Uncertainty: An Experiment Towards Better Geosteering Operations.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Holsaeter, Andrew Martin; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Ivanova, Sofija; Bendiksen, Morten

      (2020)

      Geosteering with uncertainty quantification: ​ Man vs Machine.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Suter, Erich Christian; Bratvold, Reidar B; Vefring, Erlend; Jahani, Nazanin

      (2019)

      Ensemble-based Decision-Support Workflow for Operational Geosteering .

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Bratvold, Reidar B; Hong, Aojie; Suter, Erich Christian; Jahani, Nazanin; Daireaux, Benoit

      (2019)

      Real-Time Decision Making for Geosteering.

    • Jahani, Nazanin; Suter, Erich Christian; Daireaux, Benoit; Bratvold, Reidar B; Hong, Aojie; Luo, Xiaodong; Fossum, Kristian; Alyaev, Sergey

      (2019)

      Realtime multi-objective optimization of well trajectory under geological uncertainty.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Daireaux, Benoit; Suter, Erich Christian; Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Luo, Xiaodong; Fossum, Kristian

      (2019)

      A Geosteeering Decision Support System that Balances Recovery and Drilling Risks.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2019)

      The Full Structure of Reservoir Management.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2019)

      Production Forecasts – Optimistic and Overconfident, Over and Over Again.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Lake, Larry; Ruiz Maraggi, Leopoldo

      (2018)

      Integrating Model Uncertainty in Probabilistic Decline Curve Analysis for Unconventional Oil Production Forecasting.

    • Cardenas, Camillo; Bratvold, Reidar B; Jafarizadeh, Babak

      (2018)

      Offshore exploratory drilling campaigns during oil price downturns: Maximizing value creation from flexibility..

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Mohus, Erlend

      (2018)

      Feltene gir mindre olje enn tenkt.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Bratvold, Reidar B; Suter, Erich Christian; Evensen, Geir; Luo, Xiaodong; Vefring, Erlend

      (2018)

      Ensemble-based decision support system for geosteering.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Bratvold, Reidar B; Luo, Xiaodong; Suter, Erich Christian; Vefring, Erlend

      (2018)

      An Interactive Decision Support System for Geosteering Operations.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B; Lake, Larry

      (2018)

      Fast Analysis of Optimal IOR Switch Time Using a Two-Factor Production Model and Least-Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2018)

      Are you myopic, naïve or farsighted about your geosteering decisions?.

    • Alyaev, Sergey; Suter, Erich Christian; Bratvold, Reidar B; Vefring, Erlend; Jahani, Nazanin

      (2018)

      Ensemble-based Decision-support Workflow for Operational Geosteering.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2017)

      Value of Information from History Matching—How Much Information is Enough? .

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Lake, L. W.

      (2017)

      Integrating Model Uncertainty in Probabilistic Decline Curve Analysis for Unconventional Hydrocarbon Production Forecast.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2016)

      Robust Production Optimization with Capacitance-Resistance Model as Precursor.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2016)

      Robust Production Optimization with Capacitance-Resistance Model as Proxy.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2016)

      Using a Capacitance-Resistance Model as Proxy for Fast Robust Production Optimization.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2016)

      Decision Analytics for Look-Ahead Decision-Making: Optimize Your Well and Save Your Money.

    • Hong, Aojie; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Nævdal, Geir

      (2016)

      Realistic Application of EnKFon Capacitance-Resistance Models.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2015)

      Decision Analytics for Look-Ahead Decision-Making: Optimize Your Well and Save Your Money.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2015)

      Automated Geosteering With Look-Ahead Decision-Making: Optimize Your Well and Save Your Money.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2015)

      How much information is enough? Value-of-information for IOR.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2015)

      Uncertainty, Risk and Variability = Confusion.

    • Begg, S.H.; Bratvold, Reidar B; Welsh, Matthew

      (2014)

      Uncertainty vs. Variability: What's the Difference and Why is it Important?.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Thomas, Philip; Begg, S.H.

      (2014)

      Robust Discretization of Continuous Probability Distributions for Value-of-Information Analyses.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2014)

      Decision Driven Drilling Operations .

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, Eric J.

      (2014)

      Value Creation with Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Geosteering Operations.

    • Thomas, Philip; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2013)

      The Risk of Using Risk Matrices.

    • Kullawan, Kanokwan; Bratvold, Reidar B; Bickel, J. Eric

      (2013)

      A Decision Analytic Approach to Geosteering Operations.

    • Willigers, Bart J.A.; Begg, S.H.; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2013)

      Combining Geostatistics With Bayesian Updating to Continually Optimize Drilling Strategy in Shale Gas Plays.

    • Bratvold, Reidar B; Koch, F.

      (2011)

      Game Theory in the Oil and Gas Industry.

      The Way Ahead

      ISSN 2224-4522.

      Volum 7.

      Hefte 1.

      s.18-20.

    • Rasheva, Svitlana; Bratvold, Reidar B

      (2011)

      A New and Improved Approach for Geological Dependency Evaluation for Multiple-Prospect Exploration.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2010)

      Probabilistic Modelling for Decision Support in Drilling Operations.

    • Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2010)

      Bayesian Decision Networks for Optimal Placement of Horizontal Wells.

    • Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2010)

      A Decision Analytic Framework for Autonomous Geosteering.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Begg, Steve

      (2010)

      A New Approach to Uncertainty Quantification for Decision Making.

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Taking Real Options into the Real World: Asset Valuation through Option Simulation.

    • Willigers, B.J.A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Hausken, Kjell

      (2009)

      A Game Theoretic Approach to Conflicting and Evolving Stakeholder Preferences in the E&P Industry.

    • Rajaieyamchee, Mohammad; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Real-time Decision Support in Drilling Operations using Bayesian Decision Networks.

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Real Options Analysis in Petroleum Exploration and Production: A New Paradigm in Investment Analysis.

    • Jafarizadeh, Babak; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2009)

      Strategic Decision Making in the Digital Oil Field.

    • Arild, Øystein; Lohne, Hans; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      A Monte Carlo Approach to Value of Information Evaluation.

    • Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      Systematic Prediction Errors in O&G Project and Portfolio Selection.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Sund, Knut Arne

      (2008)

      Integrated Operations: How Effective is the Current Relationship between Operating Companies and Suppliers?.

    • Fjellheim, Roar A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Herbert, MIke

      (2008)

      CODIO - Collaborative Decisionmaking in Integrated Operations.

    • Willigers, Bart J. A.; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2008)

      Valuing Oil and Gas Options by Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation.

    • Bickel, J. Eric; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Decision Making in the Oil and Gas Industry: From Blissful Ignorance to Uncertainty-Induced Confusion.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Would You Know a Good Decision if You Saw One?.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer; Bickel, J. Eric; Lohne, Hans Petter

      (2007)

      Value of Information in the Oil and Gas Industry: Past, Present, and Future.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Decision-making in the Oil & Gas Industry ? From Blissful Ignorance to Uncertainty Induced Confusion.

    • Welsh, Matthew; Bickel, J. Eric; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions.

    • Welsh, Matthew; Begg, Steve; Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2007)

      Efficacy of Bias Awareness in Debiasing Oil and Gas Judgments.

    • Bratvold, Reidar Brumer

      (2006)

      Investment Decisions, Systems Approach vs. Sequential Approach: Do Functional Dependencies And Interactions Matter?.

      APPEA Journal

      ISSN 1326-4966.

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