Vitenskapelige publikasjoner
Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema; Terje Aven; Kaia Stødle
(2025)
Contributions to Risk Analysis: Improving the Understanding and Characterization of Risk when Leveraging Data-Driven Predictive Modeling and Artificial Intelligence for Risk Analysis.
Universitetet i Stavanger.
ISBN 9788284393537.
Hans Thore Smedbold; Roger Flage; Marie Røyksund
(2020)
Individual and overall assessment related to the work environment : Regulatory context and application in the Norwegian petroleum industry.
I: Piero Baraldi; Francesco P. Di Maio; Enrico Zio, e-proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (ESREL2020 PSAM15).
Research Publishing Services.
ISBN 9789811485930.
Christine Louise Berner Nyvik; Andreas Falck; Roger Flage
(2020)
An overview of regulatory principles for safety demonstration on the Norwegian Continental Shelf.
I: Piero Baraldi; Francesco P. Di Maio; Enrico Zio, e-proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (ESREL2020 PSAM15).
Research Publishing Services.
ISBN 9789811485930.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2018)
Case study of the effects of Hurricanes on the coupled electricity and water systems of St Kitts.
I: Jan Erik Vinnem; Anne Barros; Trond Kongsvik; Stein Haugen; Coen van Gulijk, Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World. Proceedings of ESREL 2018, June 17-21, 2018, Trondheim, Norway.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9781351174657.
s.2119-2125.
Andreas Falck; Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2017)
Barrier indicators vs risk—informing operational risk management.
I: Lesley Walls; Matthew Revie; Tim Bedford, Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice : Proceedings of ESREL 2016 (Glasgow, Scotland, 25-29 September 2016).
CRC Press.
ISBN 9781138029972.
s.758-765.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2017)
Review of network-theoretic approaches to characterise interdependencies in critical infrastructures.
I: Marko Cepin; Radim Bris, Safety & Reliability, Theory and Applications.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9781138629370.
s.765-772.
D.V Lindberg; Andreas Hafver; Irena Jakopanec; Frank Børre Pedersen; Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2015)
Separating variability from uncertainty when treating critical assumptions in risk assessments.
I: Wolfgang Kröder; Bruno Sudret; Bozidar Stojadinovic; Enrico Zio; Luca Podofillini, Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9781138028791.
Andreas Hafver; D.V Lindberg; Irena Jakopanec; Frank Børre Pedersen; Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2015)
Risk-from concept to decision making.
I: Luca Podofillini; Bruno Sudret; Bozidar Stojadinovic; Enrico Zio; Wolfgang Kröder, Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9781138028791.
Christine Louise Berner; Roger Flage
(2015)
Qualitative versus quantitative treatment of uncertainty factors in risk assessment.
I: Tomasz Nowakowski; Marek Mlynczak; Anna Jodejko-Pietruczuk; Sylwia Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Safety and Reliability : Methodology and Applications: Proceedings of the European safety and reliability Conference, ESREL 2014, Poland, 14-18 september 2014.
Taylor & Francis.
ISBN 9781138026810.
Roger Flage; Øystein Amundrud; Hermann Steen Wiencke
(2015)
Overall regional risk analysis of four Norwegian municipalities.
I: Tomasz Nowakowski; Marek Mlynczak; Anna Jodejko-Pietruczuk; Sylwia Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Safety and Reliability : Methodology and Applications: Proceedings of the European safety and reliability Conference, ESREL 2014, Poland, 14-18 september 2014.
Taylor & Francis.
ISBN 9781138026810.
s.361-369.
Tore Askeland; Roger Flage
(2015)
Utilizing knowledge-to-number-processes in smaller and less resource intensive risk assessments.
I: Tomasz Nowakowski; Marek Mlynczak; Anna Jodejko-Pietruczuk; Sylwia Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Safety and Reliability : Methodology and Applications: Proceedings of the European safety and reliability Conference, ESREL 2014, Poland, 14-18 september 2014.
Taylor & Francis.
ISBN 9781138026810.
s.1439-1446.
Terje Aven; Piero Baraldi; Roger Flage; Enrico Zio
(2014)
Uncertainty in Risk Assessment - The Representation and Treatment of Uncertainties by Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Methods.
John Wiley & Sons.
ISBN 9781118489581.
Roger Flage; Willy Røed
(2012)
A Reflection On Some Practices In The Use of Risk Matrices.
I: . PSAM&ESREL, 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012, 25-29 June 2012, Helsinki, Finland.
Curran Associates, Inc..
ISBN 9781622764365.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage; Piero Baraldi; Enrico Zio
(2012)
On imprecision in relation to uncertainty importance measures.
I: Christophe Bérenguer; Antoine Grall; Carlos Guedes Soares, Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management - proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2011.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415683791.
s.2250-2255.
Roger Flage
(2012)
Maintenance Optimisation and the ALARP Principle – Review and Discussion.
I: . PSAM&ESREL, 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012, 25-29 June 2012, Helsinki, Finland.
Curran Associates, Inc..
ISBN 9781622764365.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage; P. Baraldi; F. Ameruso; Enrico Zio
(2010)
Handling epistemic uncertainties in fault tree analysis by probabilistic and possibilistic approaches.
I: Radim Bris; Sebastián Martorell; C. Guedes Soares, Reliability, Risk and Safety. Theory and Applications.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415555098.
s.1761-1768.
Thor Erik Nøkland; Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2010)
A risk management approach to a maintenance decision for an ageing system.
I: Radim Bris; Sebastián Martorell; C. Guedes Soares, Reliability, Risk and Safety. Theory and Applications.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415555098.
s.517-524.
Roger Flage; P. Baraldi; Enrico Zio; Terje Aven
(2010)
Possibility-probability transformation in comparing different approaches to the treatment of epistemic uncertainties in a fault tree analysis.
I: Ben Ale; Ioannis Papazoglou; Enrico Zio, Reliability, risk and safety : back to the future.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415604277.
s.1605-1612.
Jon Tømmerås Selvik; Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2010)
The use of maintenance optimization modelsan empirical study from the Norwegian oil and gas industry.
I: Ben Ale; Ioannis Papazoglou; Enrico Zio, Reliability, risk and safety : back to the future.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415604277.
s.1280-1287.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2009)
Condition-based maintenance optimisation for a binary monotone system using a counting process approach.
I: Reliability, risk and safety : theory and applications : supplement [of the European Safety and Reliability Conference], ESREL 2009, Prague, Czech Republic, 7-10 September 2009 / editors: Radim Bri?, C. Guedes Soares, Sebastián Martorell.
European Safety and Reliability Association.
ISBN 9788024820484.
s.5-13.
Terje Aven; John Stian Østrem; Håvard J. Thevik; Roger Flage
(2009)
Risk communication and addressing uncertainties in risk assessments : presentation of a framework.
I: Sebastián Martorell; Carlos Guedes Soares; Julie Barnett, Local management and its impact on safety culture and safety within Norwegian shipping.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415485135.
s.1335-1340.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven; Enrico Zio
(2009)
Alternative representations of uncertainty in system reliability and risk analysy : review and discussion.
I: Sebastián Martorell; C. Guedes Soares; Julie Barnett, Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications.
CRC Press.
ISBN 9780415485166.
s.2081-2091.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2009)
Expressing and communicating uncertainty in relation to quantitative risk analysis (QRA).
I: Reliability: Theory & Applications.
Online ISSN 1932-2321.
Volum 2.
s.9-18.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven; Petter Osmundsen
(2007)
On how to evaluate decision alternatives in production and transportation systems.
I: Risk, reliability and societal safety : proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2007 (ESREL 2007), Stavanger, Norway, 25-27 June 2007.
Taylor & Francis.
s.511-518.
Formidling
Terje Aven; Roger Flage
(2025)
Webinar: Risk Science Fundamentals II: A Perspective on the Development of the Risk Concept.
Webinar Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) ;
2025-04-01.
Roger Flage
(2024)
Risk science, an uncertainty-based risk perspective, and the use of the term «real risk».
ROCK Sessions 2024;
2024-04-16.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage
(2024)
Formalisation and advancement of fundamental risk science concepts and principles .
CRISP worskhop ;
2024-03-12 - 2024-03-13.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage
(2024)
Risikovitenskap, Risikoforståelse og Risikovurderinger.
Seminar om risiko;
2024-03-11.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage; Ingrid Glette-Iversen
(2023)
Risk science – what we have achieved, where are we heading?.
Future of Risk Analysis;
2023-12-07.
Roger Flage; Ingrid Glette-Iversen; Terje Aven
(2023)
On the use of the term ​“real risk”​.
Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2023;
2023-12-10 - 2023-12-14.
Seth David Guikema; Roger Flage
(2021)
U.S. National Risk Index - A Foundational Review.
European Safety and Reliability Conference 2021 (ESREL 2021);
2021-09-19 - 2021-09-23.
Roger Flage
(2021)
An uncertainty-based risk perspective.
RISKY concept diving: The definition of risk;
2021-05-21.
Mehul Arun Vora; John-Sigvard Gamlem Njau; Steinar Sanni; Roger Flage
(2021)
Environmental risk assessment of inter-well partitioning tracer compounds shortlisted for offshore oil and gas industry.
Poster;
2021-12-05 - 2021-12-09.
Roger Flage
(2021)
Being a Young Risk Scientist.
SRA Webinar Series;
2021-10-06.
Roger Flage
(2021)
Risikoanalyse og risikostyring i et bedriftsperspektiv.
Webinar om risikoanalyse og risikostyring;
2021-02-12.
Christine Louise Berner Nyvik; Roger Flage; Andreas Falck
(2020)
AN OVERVIEW OF REGULATORY PRINCIPLES FOR SAFETY DEMONSTRATION ON THE NORWEGIAN CONTINENTAL SHELF.
ESREL & PSAM 2020;
2020-11-01 - 2020-11-05.
Roger Flage
(2020)
Kåret til årets risikoanalytiker: - Jeg går ikke ytterst på fjellkanten.
Roger Flage
(2020)
- Pandemi var identifisert som risiko, men beredskapen var ikke på plass.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage
(2020)
Hva betyr det at det er «trygt» å gå i butikken under koronapandemien?.
Roger Flage
(2019)
Tacit and explicit assumptions: Conceptual clarification and environmental risk assessment applications.
ARCEx Annual Conference 2019;
2019-10-22 - 2019-10-24.
Roger Flage
(2019)
Risk analysis: Foundations and IOR applications.
IOR NORWAY 2019;
2019-03-19 - 2019-03-20.
Kaia Stødle; Thomas Y. J. Chen; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2019)
Pipe break hotspot identification and predictions in a water distribution network.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2019;
2019-10-19 - 2019-10-23.
Mehul Arun Vora; Steinar Sanni; Roger Flage; Merete Vadla Madland
(2019)
Environmental risk assessment of Smart Water EOR..
OG 21 Conference;
2019-11-12.
Rolv Erlend Bredesen; Bushra Butt; Roger Flage
(2019)
National Norwegian Guidelines: Ice-throw hazard.
Winterwind 2019;
2019-02-05 - 2019-02-06.
Roger Flage
(2019)
Current foundational issues in the field of risk analysis.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2019;
2019-12-08 - 2019-12-12.
Kaia Stødle; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2018)
Data-driven modeling in risk analysis – Review and discussion.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2018;
2018-12-02 - 2018-12-06.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth Guikema
(2018)
Characterising the Robustness of Coupled Power-Law Networks.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2018;
2018-12-02 - 2018-12-06.
Tore Askeland; Roger Flage
(2018)
Explicit and tacit assumptions in risk assessment – some examples and assessment strategies.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2018;
2018-12-02 - 2018-12-06.
Roger Flage
(2018)
Explicit and tacit assumptions in risk assessments.
Lunchseminar ved Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet;
2018-01-24.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth Guikema
(2018)
Case study of the effects of hurricanes on the coupled electricity and water systems of St Kitts.
European Safety and Reliability Conference 2018;
2018-06-17 - 2018-06-21.
Roger Flage; Caroline Amy Johnson; Seth David Guikema
(2018)
Conceptualisations of risk, vulnerability and related concepts in infrastructure research.
4th SRA Nordic Conference;
2018-11-07 - 2018-11-09.
Roger Flage
(2018)
Systemising and treating uncertain assumptions in quantitative risk assessments.
Jeudis du LGI;
2018-02-22.
Roger Flage
(2018)
Prudent risk analysis [roundtable introduction].
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2018;
2018-12-02 - 2018-12-06.
Kaia Stødle; Caroline Amy Johnson; Logan Brunner; Julian Saliani; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2018)
Interdependent infrastructure system risk analysis of the real-world power and water distribution system at St. Kitts.
4th SRA Nordic Conference;
2018-11-07 - 2018-11-09.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Allison Reilly; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2018)
Characterising the robustness of power-law networks given spatially-correlated disruptions.
4th SRA Nordic Conference;
2018-11-07 - 2018-11-09.
Roger Flage
(2018)
Hvordan evaluere en risikovurdering?.
Risikodag;
2018-02-02.
Roger Flage
(2017)
The uncertainty and knowledge dimensions in risk assessment.
Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2017;
2017-12-10 - 2017-12-14.
Roger Flage
(2017)
Risk assessment assumptions - Uncertainty and bias.
Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2017;
2017-12-10 - 2017-12-14.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2017)
The effects of hurricanes on power and water infrastructure of St Kitts.
Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2017;
2017-12-10 - 2017-12-14.
Roger Flage
(2017)
Nye metoder for å håndtere usikkerhet og beskrive kunnskapsgrunnlaget i risikoanalyser.
Risikoforståelse - nøkkelen til bedre risikoanalyser og -styring;
2017-05-30.
Roger Flage
(2017)
Risk analysis: Foundations and Arctic applications.
ARCEx Annual Conference 2017;
2017-05-10 - 2017-05-11.
Roger Flage
(2017)
The uncertainty and knowledge dimensions in risk assessment and management.
European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL) 2017;
2017-08-18 - 2017-08-22.
Caroline Amy Johnson; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2017)
Review of Network-Theoretic Approaches to Characterise Interdependencies in Critical Infrastructure.
27th International European Safety and Reliability Conference;
2017-06-18 - 2017-06-22.
Seth Guikema; Roger Flage
(2017)
Data Analytics, Risk Analysis, and Uncertainty.
Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2017;
2017-12-10 - 2017-12-14.
Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2016)
Conceptualizing and handling uncertainty in predictive data models for risk analysis.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) 2016 Annual Meeting;
2016-12-11 - 2016-12-15.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2015)
Assumptions in quantitative risk assessments: when explicit and when tacit?.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2015;
2015-12-06 - 2015-12-10.
Roger Flage
(2015)
Litt om risiko- og sårbarhetsanalyser.
HMS-opplæring ved Universitetet i Stavanger 2015;
2015-02-02.
Christine Louise Berner; Roger Flage
(2015)
The NUSAP notational scheme and semi-quantitative risk assessments.
Society of Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2015;
2015-12-06 - 2015-12-09.
Terje Aven; Roger Flage
(2014)
Risk science fundamentals I: A historical perspective on the development of risk analysis as a field and science.
SRA Webinar ;
2014-10-30.
Christine Louise Berner; Roger Flage
(2014)
Quantitative vs. qualitative treatment of uncertain assumptions in risk assessment.
The annual European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL ;
2014-09-14 - 2014-09-20.
Christine Louise Berner; Andrea Staid; Roger Flage; Seth David Guikema
(2014)
Reducing the Domain of Black Swans using Model Simulations.
Society of Risk Analysis Annual Meeting;
2014-12-07 - 2014-12-11.
Roger Flage
(2014)
Risiko og usikkerhet – Konsepavklaringer og refleksjoner i lys av Ptils forslag til ny risikodefinisjon.
Avdelingsmøte HSEQ, GDF SUEZ E&P Norge AS;
2014-01-21.
Roger Flage
(2014)
Noen refleksjoner om risiko- og sårbarhetsanalyser.
Høstsamling brannvernkontaktene ved Universitetet i Stavanger;
2014-11-25.
Roger Flage
(2014)
Risiko: Sorte svaner og perfekte stormer.
Åpent universitet;
2014-09-28.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven
(2014)
Defining emerging risk.
Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting 2014;
2014-12-07 - 2014-12-10.
Roger Flage; Øystein Amundrud; Hermann Steen Wiencke
(2014)
Overall regional risk and vulnerability analysis of four Norwegian municipalities.
European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL) 2014;
2014-09-14 - 2014-09-18.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven; Enrico Zio; Piero Baraldi
(2013)
Concerns, challenges and directions of development for the issue of representing uncertainty in risk assessment.
SRA 2013 Annual Meeting;
2013-12-08 - 2013-12-11.
Roger Flage; Terje Aven; Piero Baraldi; Enrico Zio
(2011)
On imprecision in relation to uncertainty importance measures.
European Safety and Reliability (ESREL) conference 2011;
2011-09-18 - 2011-09-22.
Roger Flage
(2011)
ISO 31000:2009 og ISO Guide 73 - noen refleksjoner rundt terminologi og anvendelse innen helhetlig risikostyring.
Risiko og sikkerhet i IKT-systemer;
2011-03-08 - 2011-03-09.
